Forsa poll of 4 February 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Jan 2025 to 3 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%-2.0
- AfD20.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW4.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Jan 2025.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 28 Jan 2025 to 3 Feb 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Jan 2025, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.4average 30.4
- Grüne +1.3average 13.7
- BSW -0.9average 4.9
- Linke +0.8average 4.2
- AfD -0.5average 20.5
- SPD +0.2average 15.8
- FDP +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- AfD150
- SPD120
- Grüne113
- Linke37
- CDU/CSU + AfD360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne323 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne383 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.