Single poll

Forsa poll of 11 February 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
4 to 10 Feb 2025
Respondents
2,502
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU29.0%+1.0
  • AfD20.0%±0
  • SPD16.0%±0
  • Grüne14.0%-1.0
  • Linke6.0%+1.0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • BSW4.0%±0
  • Others7.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Feb 2025.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 4 to 10 Feb 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Feb 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.1average 30.1
  • BSW -0.9average 4.9
  • Linke +0.8average 5.2
  • AfD -0.7average 20.7
  • Grüne +0.7average 13.3
  • FDP -0.1average 4.1
  • SPD ±0average 16.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 215 seatsAfD: 148 seatsSPD: 119 seatsGrüne: 104 seatsLinke: 44 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU215
  • AfD148
  • SPD119
  • Grüne104
  • Linke44
  • CDU/CSU + AfD363 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD334 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne371 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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