Single poll

Forsa poll of 18 February 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
11 to 17 Feb 2025
Respondents
2,501
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
  • AfD20.0%±0
  • SPD16.0%±0
  • Grüne13.0%-1.0
  • Linke7.0%+1.0
  • FDP5.0%+1.0
  • BSW4.0%±0
  • Others5.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Feb 2025.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 11 to 17 Feb 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Feb 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +1.0average 6.0
  • FDP +0.8average 4.2
  • SPD +0.7average 15.3
  • BSW -0.6average 4.6
  • AfD -0.4average 20.4
  • Grüne -0.4average 13.4
  • CDU/CSU -0.1average 30.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 208 seatsAfD: 138 seatsSPD: 111 seatsGrüne: 90 seatsLinke: 48 seatsFDP: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU208
  • AfD138
  • SPD111
  • Grüne90
  • Linke48
  • FDP35
  • CDU/CSU + AfD346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD319 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke346 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP333 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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