Single poll

Forsa poll of 29 April 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
22 to 28 Apr 2025
Respondents
2,004
Method
Telefonisch
  • AfD26.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU24.0%-1.0
  • SPD14.0%-1.0
  • Grüne12.0%+1.0
  • Linke10.0%+1.0
  • BSW4.0%±0
  • FDP3.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Apr 2025.

In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 22 to 28 Apr 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Apr 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 1.8 points lower and AfD 1.7 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Apr 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.8average 25.8
  • AfD +1.7average 24.3
  • SPD -1.4average 15.4
  • Grüne +0.5average 11.5
  • FDP -0.5average 3.5
  • BSW -0.1average 4.1
  • Linke ±0average 10.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 190 seatsCDU/CSU: 176 seatsSPD: 103 seatsGrüne: 88 seatsLinke: 73 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD190
  • CDU/CSU176
  • SPD103
  • Grüne88
  • Linke73
  • AfD + CDU/CSU366 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne381 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne367 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke366 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke352 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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