Single poll

Forsa poll of 22 April 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
15 to 17 Apr 2025
Respondents
1,502
Method
Telefonisch
  • AfD26.0%+2.0
  • CDU/CSU25.0%±0
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • Grüne11.0%-1.0
  • Linke9.0%-1.0
  • FDP4.0%+1.0
  • BSW4.0%±0
  • Others6.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Apr 2025.

In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 1,502 people were surveyed from 15 to 17 Apr 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Apr 2025, AfD gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 1.9 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Apr 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +1.9average 24.1
  • Linke -1.1average 10.1
  • CDU/CSU -0.9average 25.9
  • Grüne -0.6average 11.6
  • FDP +0.4average 3.6
  • SPD -0.3average 15.3
  • BSW -0.3average 4.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 190 seatsCDU/CSU: 183 seatsSPD: 110 seatsGrüne: 81 seatsLinke: 66 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD190
  • CDU/CSU183
  • SPD110
  • Grüne81
  • Linke66
  • AfD + CDU/CSU373 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne381 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne374 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke366 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke359 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke330 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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