Single poll

Forsa poll of 15 April 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
8 to 14 Apr 2025
Respondents
2,502
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU25.0%±0
  • AfD24.0%±0
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • Grüne12.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • BSW4.0%±0
  • FDP3.0%±0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Apr 2025.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 8 to 14 Apr 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Apr 2025, no party moves by more than one point.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Apr 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.3average 26.3
  • FDP -0.6average 3.6
  • SPD -0.4average 15.4
  • Grüne +0.4average 11.6
  • AfD +0.3average 23.7
  • BSW -0.2average 4.2
  • Linke -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 183 seatsAfD: 176 seatsSPD: 110 seatsGrüne: 88 seatsLinke: 73 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU183
  • AfD176
  • SPD110
  • Grüne88
  • Linke73
  • CDU/CSU + AfD359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne381 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne374 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke366 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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