Forsa poll of 13 February 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 12 Feb 2024
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%±0
- AfD18.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- BSW5.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others10.0%+3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 6 Feb 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 6 to 12 Feb 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 6 Feb 2024, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has BSW 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Feb 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -1.6average 6.6
- AfD -1.4average 19.4
- Grüne +0.8average 13.2
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 30.4
- FDP -0.5average 4.5
- SPD -0.3average 15.3
- Linke -0.3average 3.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU235
- AfD137
- SPD114
- Grüne106
- BSW38
- CDU/CSU + AfD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne341 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne357 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.