Forsa poll of 20 February 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 19 Feb 2024
- Respondents
- 2,504
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%-1.0
- AfD17.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- FDP5.0%+1.0
- BSW4.0%-1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Others9.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 Feb 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 13 to 19 Feb 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 Feb 2024, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has BSW 2.6 points lower and AfD 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Feb 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -2.6average 6.6
- AfD -2.3average 19.3
- Grüne +0.8average 13.2
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 30.4
- FDP +0.4average 4.6
- Freie Wähler +0.4average 2.6
- Linke -0.3average 3.3
- SPD -0.2average 15.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU233
- AfD132
- SPD117
- Grüne109
- FDP39
- CDU/CSU + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne342 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne358 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.