Forsa poll of 6 February 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Jan 2024 to 5 Feb 2024
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%-1.0
- AfD18.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- BSW5.0%+2.0
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Jan 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 30 Jan 2024 to 5 Feb 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Jan 2024, BSW gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.2 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Feb 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.2average 20.2
- BSW -1.4average 6.4
- FDP -1.0average 5.0
- CDU/CSU +0.8average 30.2
- Grüne +0.8average 13.2
- Linke -0.6average 3.6
- SPD -0.4average 15.4
- Freie Wähler +0.2average 2.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU235
- AfD137
- SPD114
- Grüne106
- BSW38
- CDU/CSU + AfD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne341 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne357 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.