Forsa poll of 20 January 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 19 Jan 2026
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- AfD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU25.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%+1.0
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%-1.0
- FDP3.0%±0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 Jan 2026.
In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 13 to 19 Jan 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 Jan 2026, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Jan 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -0.8average 3.8
- SPD -0.7average 14.7
- AfD +0.4average 25.6
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 25.4
- Grüne -0.3average 12.3
- BSW -0.3average 3.3
- Linke -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD188
- CDU/CSU181
- SPD102
- Grüne87
- Linke72
- AfD + CDU/CSU369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne370 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke355 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.