Forsa poll of 5 May 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Apr 2026 to 4 May 2026
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Telefonisch
- AfD27.0%±0
- CDU/CSU22.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%+1.0
- SPD12.0%±0
- Linke11.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Apr 2026.
In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 28 Apr 2026 to 4 May 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Apr 2026, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.7 points lower and Grüne 2.3 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 May 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.7average 24.7
- Grüne +2.3average 13.7
- AfD +1.2average 25.8
- SPD -1.2average 13.2
- Linke +0.5average 10.5
- FDP +0.3average 3.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD193
- CDU/CSU157
- Grüne115
- SPD86
- Linke79
- AfD + CDU/CSU350 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD394 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke387 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.