Forsa poll of 12 May 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 11 May 2026
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- AfD27.0%±0
- CDU/CSU22.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%-1.0
- SPD12.0%±0
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Others9.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 May 2026.
In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 5 to 11 May 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 May 2026, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 May 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.0average 24.0
- Grüne +1.1average 13.9
- SPD -0.8average 12.8
- AfD +0.6average 26.4
- Linke +0.6average 10.4
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD195
- CDU/CSU159
- Grüne109
- SPD87
- Linke80
- AfD + CDU/CSU354 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD391 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke384 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.