Forsa poll of 19 May 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 18 May 2026
- Respondents
- 2,000
- Method
- Telefonisch
- AfD28.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU22.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%-1.0
- SPD12.0%±0
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW3.0%
- Others6.0%-3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 12 May 2026.
In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 2,000 people were surveyed from 12 to 18 May 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 12 May 2026, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 May 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 23.6
- AfD +1.1average 26.9
- SPD -0.6average 12.6
- Linke +0.4average 10.6
- BSW -0.3average 3.3
- FDP +0.1average 3.9
- Grüne ±0average 14.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD203
- CDU/CSU159
- Grüne101
- SPD87
- Linke80
- AfD + CDU/CSU362 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD391 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke384 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.