Single poll

Forsa poll of 20 May 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
13 to 19 May 2025
Respondents
2,504
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%+1.0
  • AfD24.0%-1.0
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • Grüne11.0%±0
  • Linke11.0%+1.0
  • FDP4.0%+1.0
  • BSW3.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 May 2025.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 13 to 19 May 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 May 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 May 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +1.1average 9.9
  • BSW -1.1average 4.1
  • Grüne -0.6average 11.6
  • CDU/CSU -0.4average 26.4
  • SPD -0.4average 15.4
  • FDP +0.4average 3.6
  • AfD -0.1average 24.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 188 seatsAfD: 174 seatsSPD: 108 seatsGrüne: 80 seatsLinke: 80 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU188
  • AfD174
  • SPD108
  • Grüne80
  • Linke80
  • CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne376 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke376 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke334 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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