Single poll

Forsa poll of 10 March 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
3 to 9 Mar 2026
Respondents
2,502
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%±0
  • AfD24.0%±0
  • SPD14.0%±0
  • Grüne12.0%±0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP3.0%±0
  • BSW3.0%±0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 Mar 2026.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 3 to 9 Mar 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 Mar 2026, no party moves by more than one point.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Mar 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.3average 15.3
  • Linke +0.7average 10.3
  • FDP -0.6average 3.6
  • BSW -0.4average 3.4
  • Grüne -0.2average 12.2
  • AfD -0.1average 24.1
  • CDU/CSU ±0average 26.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 188 seatsAfD: 174 seatsSPD: 101 seatsGrüne: 87 seatsLinke: 80 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU188
  • AfD174
  • SPD101
  • Grüne87
  • Linke80
  • CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne376 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke369 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke355 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke355 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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