Forsa poll of 17 March 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 16 Mar 2026
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- AfD23.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%+3.0
- SPD12.0%-2.0
- Linke11.0%±0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others9.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 Mar 2026.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 10 to 16 Mar 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 Mar 2026, Grüne gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 3.0 points lower and Grüne 2.4 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Mar 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -3.0average 15.0
- Grüne +2.4average 12.6
- AfD -1.1average 24.1
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 26.1
- Linke +0.7average 10.3
- BSW -0.2average 3.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU193
- AfD165
- Grüne107
- SPD86
- Linke79
- CDU/CSU + AfD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD358 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke330 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.