Single poll

Forsa poll of 24 March 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
17 to 23 Mar 2026
Respondents
2,501
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
  • AfD25.0%+2.0
  • Grüne15.0%±0
  • SPD12.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%-1.0
  • BSW3.0%±0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 17 Mar 2026.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 17 to 23 Mar 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 17 Mar 2026, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 3.0 points lower and Grüne 2.4 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Mar 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -3.0average 15.0
  • Grüne +2.4average 12.6
  • AfD +0.9average 24.1
  • CDU/CSU -0.4average 26.4
  • BSW -0.3average 3.3
  • Linke -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 186 seatsAfD: 179 seatsGrüne: 107 seatsSPD: 86 seatsLinke: 72 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU186
  • AfD179
  • Grüne107
  • SPD86
  • Linke72
  • CDU/CSU + AfD365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD379 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD372 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke365 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke344 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke337 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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