Single poll

Forsa poll of 31 March 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
24 to 30 Mar 2026
Respondents
2,504
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%±0
  • AfD25.0%±0
  • Grüne15.0%±0
  • SPD12.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • BSW3.0%±0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 Mar 2026.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 24 to 30 Mar 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 Mar 2026, no party moves by more than one point.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 2.7 points lower and Grüne 2.1 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Mar 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -2.7average 14.7
  • Grüne +2.1average 12.9
  • AfD +0.6average 24.4
  • CDU/CSU -0.4average 26.4
  • BSW -0.3average 3.3
  • Linke -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 186 seatsAfD: 179 seatsGrüne: 107 seatsSPD: 86 seatsLinke: 72 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU186
  • AfD179
  • Grüne107
  • SPD86
  • Linke72
  • CDU/CSU + AfD365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD379 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD372 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke365 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke344 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke337 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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