Forsa poll of 19 December 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 18 Dec 2023
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%±0
- AfD23.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke3.0%-1.0
- Others11.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 12 Dec 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 12 to 18 Dec 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 12 Dec 2023, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Dec 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.1average 21.9
- Grüne -1.0average 14.0
- SPD -0.9average 14.9
- Linke -0.7average 3.7
- FDP -0.2average 5.2
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 31.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU227
- AfD168
- SPD103
- Grüne95
- FDP37
- CDU/CSU + AfD395 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne366 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.