Forsa poll of 12 December 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 11 Dec 2023
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
- AfD22.0%±0
- SPD14.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others11.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Dec 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 5 to 11 Dec 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Dec 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Dec 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.2average 14.2
- SPD -1.0average 15.0
- Linke +0.3average 3.7
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 30.8
- AfD +0.2average 21.8
- FDP -0.2average 5.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU230
- AfD163
- SPD104
- Grüne96
- FDP37
- CDU/CSU + AfD393 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne326 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne363 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.