Forsa poll of 5 December 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Nov 2023 to 4 Dec 2023
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- AfD22.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others11.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Nov 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 28 Nov 2023 to 4 Dec 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Nov 2023, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Dec 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.8average 15.8
- AfD +0.6average 21.4
- Grüne -0.4average 14.4
- FDP -0.4average 5.4
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 29.9
- Linke -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU222
- AfD163
- SPD104
- Grüne104
- FDP37
- CDU/CSU + AfD385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne326 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne371 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.