Forsa poll of 28 November 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 27 Nov 2023
- Respondents
- 2,500
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- AfD21.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke4.0%+1.0
- Others11.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 21 Nov 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 21 to 27 Nov 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 21 Nov 2023, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Nov 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.7average 15.7
- AfD -0.5average 21.5
- Grüne +0.5average 14.5
- FDP -0.4average 5.4
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 30.1
- Linke -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU222
- AfD156
- Grüne111
- SPD104
- FDP37
- CDU/CSU + AfD378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD371 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.