Forsa poll of 21 November 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 20 Nov 2023
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- AfD21.0%±0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke3.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 Nov 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 14 to 20 Nov 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 Nov 2023, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Nov 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -1.2average 4.2
- SPD -0.9average 15.9
- Grüne -0.5average 14.5
- FDP -0.4average 5.4
- AfD +0.2average 20.8
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 29.9
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU222
- AfD156
- SPD111
- Grüne104
- FDP37
- CDU/CSU + AfD378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne326 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne371 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.