Forsa poll of 14 November 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 13 Nov 2023
- Respondents
- 2,504
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
- AfD21.0%±0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Nov 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 7 to 13 Nov 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Nov 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Nov 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.9average 15.9
- Grüne -0.6average 14.6
- FDP -0.4average 5.4
- AfD +0.2average 20.8
- Linke -0.2average 4.2
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 29.9
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU225
- AfD157
- SPD105
- Grüne105
- FDP38
- CDU/CSU + AfD382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne330 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne367 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.