Forsa poll of 7 November 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Oct 2023 to 6 Nov 2023
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%±0
- AfD21.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke4.0%+1.0
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 31 Oct 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 31 Oct 2023 to 6 Nov 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 31 Oct 2023, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Nov 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.1average 16.1
- Linke -0.6average 4.6
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 29.4
- AfD -0.3average 21.3
- FDP -0.3average 5.3
- Grüne -0.2average 14.2
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU218
- AfD157
- SPD113
- Grüne105
- FDP37
- CDU/CSU + AfD375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne323 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.