Forsa poll of 31 October 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 30 Oct 2023
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%-2.0
- AfD22.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke3.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Others9.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 Oct 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 24 to 30 Oct 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 Oct 2023, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Oct 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -1.4average 4.4
- SPD -0.9average 15.9
- AfD +0.7average 21.3
- FDP -0.5average 5.5
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 29.3
- Freie Wähler -0.3average 3.3
- Grüne -0.1average 14.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU215
- AfD163
- SPD111
- Grüne104
- FDP37
- CDU/CSU + AfD378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne378 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.