Forsa poll of 24 October 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 23 Oct 2023
- Respondents
- 2,504
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%-1.0
- AfD21.0%±0
- SPD14.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- FDP5.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 17 Oct 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 17 to 23 Oct 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 17 Oct 2023, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.7 points higher and SPD 2.2 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Oct 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.7average 28.3
- SPD -2.2average 16.2
- FDP -0.8average 5.8
- AfD -0.7average 21.7
- Linke -0.6average 4.6
- Grüne -0.2average 14.2
- Freie Wähler -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU230
- AfD155
- SPD104
- Grüne104
- FDP37
- CDU/CSU + AfD385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne334 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne363 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.