Forsa poll of 17 October 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 16 Oct 2023
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU32.0%+4.0
- AfD21.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%-4.0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- FDP4.0%-2.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Others8.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 Oct 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 10 to 16 Oct 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 Oct 2023, CDU/CSU gains 4.0 points, SPD loses 4.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 4.7 points higher and SPD 2.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Oct 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +4.7average 27.3
- SPD -2.7average 16.7
- FDP -2.1average 6.1
- AfD -0.9average 21.9
- Linke -0.7average 4.7
- Grüne -0.4average 14.4
- Freie Wähler -0.2average 3.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU249
- AfD163
- SPD109
- Grüne109
- CDU/CSU + AfD412 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne358 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne381 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.