Forsa poll of 10 October 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 9 Oct 2023
- Respondents
- 2,003
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- AfD20.0%±0
- SPD18.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others10.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Oct 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 2,003 people were surveyed from 4 to 9 Oct 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Oct 2023, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Oct 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.7average 21.7
- SPD +1.2average 16.8
- CDU/CSU +1.0average 27.0
- Linke -0.7average 4.7
- Grüne -0.6average 14.6
- FDP -0.4average 6.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU205
- AfD146
- SPD132
- Grüne103
- FDP44
- CDU/CSU + AfD351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD337 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.