Forsa poll of 2 October 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 29 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
- AfD20.0%-1.0
- SPD18.0%+1.0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others11.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Sep 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 26 to 29 Sep 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Sep 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 1.7 points lower and FDP 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Oct 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.7average 21.7
- FDP -1.5average 6.5
- SPD +1.1average 16.9
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 27.1
- Linke -0.7average 4.7
- Grüne -0.5average 14.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU208
- AfD148
- SPD133
- Grüne104
- FDP37
- CDU/CSU + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP349 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.