Forsa poll of 26 September 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 25 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- AfD21.0%-1.0
- SPD17.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others11.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 19 Sep 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 19 to 25 Sep 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 19 Sep 2023, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -0.6average 21.6
- Grüne -0.6average 14.6
- FDP -0.6average 6.6
- Linke -0.6average 4.6
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 27.1
- SPD ±0average 17.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU200
- AfD156
- SPD126
- Grüne104
- FDP44
- CDU/CSU + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.