Forsa poll of 19 September 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 18 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 2,504
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- AfD22.0%+1.0
- SPD17.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others10.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 12 Sep 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 12 to 18 Sep 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 12 Sep 2023, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -0.8average 4.8
- Grüne -0.6average 14.6
- FDP -0.6average 6.6
- AfD +0.4average 21.6
- SPD -0.2average 17.2
- CDU/CSU ±0average 27.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU198
- AfD161
- SPD124
- Grüne103
- FDP44
- CDU/CSU + AfD359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne388 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP345 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.