Forsa poll of 12 September 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 11 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 2,505
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- AfD21.0%±0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- Grüne13.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others11.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Sep 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 5 to 11 Sep 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Sep 2023, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.2average 14.2
- SPD -0.9average 17.9
- Linke -0.8average 4.8
- FDP +0.2average 6.8
- CDU/CSU ±0average 27.0
- AfD ±0average 21.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU200
- AfD156
- SPD126
- Grüne96
- FDP52
- CDU/CSU + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP334 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.