Forsa poll of 5 September 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Aug 2023 to 4 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 2,506
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- AfD21.0%±0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others11.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 29 Aug 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 2,506 people were surveyed from 29 Aug 2023 to 4 Sep 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 29 Aug 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.0average 18.0
- Linke -0.8average 4.8
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 26.7
- Grüne -0.3average 14.3
- FDP +0.1average 6.9
- AfD ±0average 21.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU200
- AfD156
- SPD118
- Grüne104
- FDP52
- CDU/CSU + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.