Single poll

Forsa poll of 29 August 2023 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
22 to 28 Aug 2023
Respondents
2,504
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%±0
  • AfD21.0%+1.0
  • SPD17.0%-1.0
  • Grüne14.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others11.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Aug 2023.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 22 to 28 Aug 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Aug 2023, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.2average 18.2
  • Linke -0.8average 4.8
  • CDU/CSU -0.6average 26.6
  • Grüne -0.3average 14.3
  • AfD +0.2average 20.8
  • FDP ±0average 7.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 193 seatsAfD: 155 seatsSPD: 126 seatsGrüne: 104 seatsFDP: 52 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU193
  • AfD155
  • SPD126
  • Grüne104
  • FDP52
  • CDU/CSU + AfD348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD319 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne385 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP349 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + FDP333 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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