Single poll

Forsa poll of 22 August 2023 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
15 to 21 Aug 2023
Respondents
2,506
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%+1.0
  • AfD20.0%-1.0
  • SPD18.0%+1.0
  • Grüne14.0%-1.0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others11.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Aug 2023.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 2,506 people were surveyed from 15 to 21 Aug 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Aug 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke -0.8average 4.8
  • CDU/CSU -0.6average 26.6
  • Grüne -0.5average 14.5
  • AfD -0.4average 20.4
  • SPD -0.2average 18.2
  • FDP ±0average 7.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 193 seatsAfD: 148 seatsSPD: 133 seatsGrüne: 104 seatsFDP: 52 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU193
  • AfD148
  • SPD133
  • Grüne104
  • FDP52
  • CDU/CSU + AfD341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne385 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP349 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + FDP333 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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