Forsa poll of 15 August 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 14 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU25.0%±0
- AfD21.0%±0
- SPD17.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others11.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Aug 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 8 to 14 Aug 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Aug 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 26.7
- SPD -1.2average 18.2
- Linke -0.7average 4.7
- AfD +0.6average 20.4
- Grüne +0.2average 14.8
- FDP +0.2average 6.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- AfD156
- SPD126
- Grüne111
- FDP52
- CDU/CSU + AfD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne422 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne393 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP334 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + FDP319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.