Single poll

Forsa poll of 2 December 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
25 Nov 2025 to 1 Dec 2025
Respondents
2,501
Method
Telefonisch
  • AfD26.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU25.0%±0
  • SPD14.0%±0
  • Grüne12.0%±0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP3.0%±0
  • BSW3.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Nov 2025.

In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 25 Nov 2025 to 1 Dec 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Nov 2025, no party moves by more than one point.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Dec 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -0.9average 25.9
  • Linke +0.7average 10.3
  • BSW -0.6average 3.6
  • SPD -0.5average 14.5
  • Grüne +0.4average 11.6
  • FDP -0.4average 3.4
  • AfD +0.2average 25.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 186 seatsCDU/CSU: 179 seatsSPD: 100 seatsGrüne: 86 seatsLinke: 79 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD186
  • CDU/CSU179
  • SPD100
  • Grüne86
  • Linke79
  • AfD + CDU/CSU365 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke358 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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