Single poll
Forsa poll of 9 July 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 8 Jul 2024
- Respondents
- 2,504
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 2 to 8 Jul 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Jul 2024, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 1.8 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Jul 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.8average 12.8
- SPD -0.8average 14.8
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 30.6
- BSW +0.6average 7.4
- AfD -0.2average 17.2
- FDP -0.2average 5.2
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU222
- AfD126
- SPD104
- Grüne82
- BSW59
- FDP37
- CDU/CSU + AfD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + BSW + FDP318 of 630
More
More polls
← Forsa, 2 Jul 2024Forsa, 16 Jul 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.