Single poll
Forsa poll of 2 July 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 25 Jun 2024 to 1 Jul 2024
- Respondents
- 2,506
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 16.0%. 2,506 people were surveyed from 25 Jun 2024 to 1 Jul 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Jun 2024, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.1 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Jul 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.1average 13.1
- FDP +1.1average 4.9
- AfD -0.9average 16.9
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 30.4
- SPD -0.1average 15.1
- BSW +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU227
- AfD117
- SPD110
- Grüne81
- BSW51
- FDP44
- CDU/CSU + AfD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + BSW + FDP322 of 630
More
More polls
← Forsa, 25 Jun 2024Forsa, 9 Jul 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.