Forsa poll of 12 March 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 11 Mar 2024
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%-1.0
- AfD17.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- BSW5.0%+1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Mar 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 5 to 11 Mar 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Mar 2024, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 1.8 points lower and BSW 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Mar 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.8average 18.8
- BSW -1.5average 6.5
- Freie Wähler +0.6average 2.4
- Grüne +0.4average 13.6
- SPD -0.2average 15.2
- FDP +0.1average 4.9
- Linke -0.1average 3.1
- CDU/CSU ±0average 30.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU220
- AfD124
- SPD110
- Grüne102
- FDP37
- BSW37
- CDU/CSU + AfD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.