Forsa poll of 19 March 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 18 Mar 2024
- Respondents
- 2,500
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
- AfD17.0%±0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- Grüne13.0%-1.0
- BSW5.0%±0
- FDP4.0%-1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 12 Mar 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 12 to 18 Mar 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 12 Mar 2024, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Mar 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.5average 18.5
- BSW -1.2average 6.2
- CDU/CSU +1.1average 29.9
- FDP -0.8average 4.8
- SPD +0.7average 15.3
- Grüne -0.7average 13.7
- Freie Wähler +0.6average 2.4
- Linke +0.1average 2.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU238
- AfD131
- SPD123
- Grüne100
- BSW38
- CDU/CSU + AfD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne338 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne354 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.