Single poll

Forsa poll of 25 March 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
18 to 24 Mar 2025
Respondents
2,502
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
  • AfD23.0%±0
  • SPD15.0%+1.0
  • Grüne12.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%-1.0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • BSW4.0%+1.0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 18 Mar 2025.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 18 to 24 Mar 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 18 Mar 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 3.3 points lower and AfD 2.1 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Mar 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -3.3average 29.3
  • AfD +2.1average 20.9
  • Linke +1.9average 8.1
  • Grüne -0.6average 12.6
  • BSW -0.5average 4.5
  • SPD -0.4average 15.4
  • FDP -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 190 seatsAfD: 169 seatsSPD: 110 seatsGrüne: 88 seatsLinke: 73 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU190
  • AfD169
  • SPD110
  • Grüne88
  • Linke73
  • CDU/CSU + AfD359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne388 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke373 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne367 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke330 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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