Single poll

Forsa poll of 18 March 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
11 to 17 Mar 2025
Respondents
2,501
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
  • AfD23.0%+1.0
  • SPD14.0%-1.0
  • Grüne12.0%+1.0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • BSW3.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Mar 2025.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 11 to 17 Mar 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Mar 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Linke 2.9 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Mar 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +2.9average 8.1
  • CDU/CSU -2.6average 29.6
  • AfD +2.3average 20.7
  • BSW -1.5average 4.5
  • SPD -1.4average 15.4
  • Grüne -0.6average 12.6
  • FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 195 seatsAfD: 167 seatsSPD: 101 seatsGrüne: 87 seatsLinke: 80 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU195
  • AfD167
  • SPD101
  • Grüne87
  • Linke80
  • CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne383 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke376 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke362 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne355 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke348 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke334 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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