INSA poll of 22 February 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 21 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 2,005
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.5%-0.5
- AfD21.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne12.5%-0.5
- Linke7.5%+0.5
- BSW5.0%±0
- FDP4.5%+0.5
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Feb 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.5%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 2,005 people were surveyed from 20 to 21 Feb 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Feb 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.0average 6.5
- Grüne -0.9average 13.4
- AfD +0.8average 20.2
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 30.2
- BSW +0.5average 4.5
- SPD -0.3average 15.3
- FDP +0.1average 4.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU206
- AfD146
- SPD104
- Grüne87
- Linke52
- BSW35
- CDU/CSU + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne397 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke345 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.