INSA poll of 2 March 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 28 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 1,001
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%+0.5
- AfD22.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%-1.5
- Linke9.0%+1.5
- BSW5.0%±0
- FDP4.0%-0.5
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Feb 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 24 to 28 Feb 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Feb 2025, Grüne loses 1.5 points, Linke gains 1.5 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 2.5 points higher and Grüne 2.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Mar 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +2.5average 6.5
- Grüne -2.4average 13.4
- AfD +1.8average 20.2
- BSW +0.5average 4.5
- FDP -0.4average 4.4
- SPD -0.3average 15.3
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 30.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU205
- AfD151
- SPD103
- Grüne75
- Linke62
- BSW34
- CDU/CSU + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne383 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke342 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne329 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke316 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.