Single poll
INSA poll of 4 March 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Feb 2025 to 3 Mar 2025
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.5%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 28 Feb 2025 to 3 Mar 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Mar 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 2.3 points higher and Grüne 2.0 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Mar 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +2.3average 7.2
- Grüne -2.0average 13.0
- AfD +1.5average 20.5
- FDP -0.7average 4.2
- BSW +0.6average 4.4
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 29.9
- SPD +0.2average 15.3
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU201
- AfD150
- SPD105
- Grüne75
- Linke65
- BSW34
- CDU/CSU + AfD351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW340 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne330 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke320 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 2 Mar 2025INSA, 9 Mar 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.