INSA poll of 9 March 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 7 Mar 2025
- Respondents
- 1,201
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%-1.5
- AfD21.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%+0.5
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke10.0%+0.5
- BSW5.0%±0
- FDP4.0%+0.5
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Mar 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,201 people were surveyed from 3 to 7 Mar 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Mar 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.5 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 2.3 points higher and Grüne 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Mar 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +2.3average 7.7
- Grüne -1.7average 12.7
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 29.6
- BSW +0.7average 4.3
- SPD +0.6average 15.4
- AfD +0.5average 20.5
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- AfD145
- SPD111
- Grüne76
- Linke69
- BSW35
- CDU/CSU + AfD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke339 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne332 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.