INSA poll of 11 March 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 10 Mar 2025
- Respondents
- 2,003
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.5%+0.5
- AfD22.0%+1.0
- SPD16.5%+0.5
- Grüne10.5%-0.5
- Linke10.5%+0.5
- BSW4.5%-0.5
- FDP3.5%-0.5
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Mar 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.5%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 2,003 people were surveyed from 7 to 10 Mar 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Mar 2025, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 2.7 points higher and Grüne 2.2 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Mar 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +2.7average 7.8
- Grüne -2.2average 12.7
- AfD +1.4average 20.6
- SPD +1.2average 15.3
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 29.5
- FDP -0.6average 4.1
- BSW +0.1average 4.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU204
- AfD158
- SPD118
- Grüne75
- Linke75
- CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke354 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne351 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke351 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.