INSA poll of 15 March 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 14 Mar 2025
- Respondents
- 1,201
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%-0.5
- AfD22.0%±0
- SPD16.0%-0.5
- Grüne11.0%+0.5
- Linke10.0%-0.5
- BSW5.0%+0.5
- FDP3.0%-0.5
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Mar 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,201 people were surveyed from 10 to 14 Mar 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Mar 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 2.2 points higher and Grüne 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Mar 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +2.2average 7.8
- Grüne -1.7average 12.7
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 29.5
- AfD +1.4average 20.6
- FDP -1.1average 4.1
- SPD +0.7average 15.3
- BSW +0.6average 4.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- AfD151
- SPD110
- Grüne75
- Linke68
- BSW34
- CDU/CSU + AfD343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW336 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.